Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 1Torino
We said: Bologna 1-1 Torino
Both teams have scored at a rate of around one goal per game in Serie A this season, and under Ivan Juric, Torino tend to keep things tight. Therefore, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards at Dall'Ara, which would see either side extend their unbeaten run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Torino |
47.31% ( 0.3) | 25.95% ( -0.05) | 26.74% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
