Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 6, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 1
Torino

Orsolini (64'), Posch (73')
Lucumi (24'), Vignato (77'), Skorupski (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lukic (26' pen.)
Milinkovic-Savic (73'), Ricci (85'), Vojvoda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Monday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams have scored at a rate of around one goal per game in Serie A this season, and under Ivan Juric, Torino tend to keep things tight. Therefore, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards at Dall'Ara, which would see either side extend their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Torino
47.31% ( 0.3)	25.95% ( -0.05)	26.74% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

0.02)

53.22% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

0.02)

74.78% (

-0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

0.15)

22.49% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95% (

0.22)

56.05% (

-0.21)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12% (

-0.19)

34.88% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38% (

-0.2)

71.61% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Bologna 47.31%

Torino 26.74%

Draw 25.94%

Bologna	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.31%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.74%