Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 0Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
Lucumi (30'), Ferguson (47'), Barrow (45+2'), Medel (88'), Arnautovic (90+6')
Lucumi (30'), Ferguson (47'), Barrow (45+2'), Medel (88'), Arnautovic (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Cagliari
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Fiorentina
Monday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Bologna 2-1 Lecce
Lifted by a rare win in midweek and Arnautovic's return, Bologna can eke out a precious home victory against a Lecce side that has been less effective on the road - losing three of five away games so far. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Lecce |
44% ( 3.05) | 26.29% ( -0.17) | 29.71% ( -2.88) |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( -0.3) | 52.96% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( -0.25) | 74.56% ( 0.25) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( 1.41) | 23.94% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.84% ( 1.98) | 58.16% ( -1.98) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( -2.16) | 32.43% ( 2.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.04% ( -2.51) | 68.96% ( 2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
Bologna 44%
Lecce 29.71%
Draw 26.28%
| Bologna | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.71)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.48)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.72% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.13)Other @ 1% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.48)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.34)Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.71% |
How you voted: Bologna vs Lecce
Bologna
65.9%Draw
27.3%Lecce
6.8%44
