Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
1 - 0
Lecce

Vlasic (40')
Ilkhan (53'), Schuurs (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hjulmand (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Torino
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lazio	5	2	8
9	Torino	4	0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	0	6

Lecce

Last Six:

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Bologna	5	-3	3
17	Lecce	4	-2	2
18	Sampdoria	5	-7	2

Under Juric, Torino rarely give away goals cheaply, so Lecce are likely to find it tough to break down their hosts. With some of their new signings settling nicely, Il Toro can claim three more points to prolong their positive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Lecce
43.75% ( 0.31)	27.44% ( -0.03)	28.81% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.31% (

-0.02)

57.69% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.55% (

-0.01)

78.45% (

0.02)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

0.15)

26.18% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73% (

0.2)

61.27% (

-0.2)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

-0.23)

35.62% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

-0.24)

72.39% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Torino 43.75%

Lecce 28.81%

Draw 27.44%

Torino	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.75%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.81%