Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Sampdoria | 1 | -2 | 0 |
19 | Hellas Verona | 1 | -3 | 0 |
20 | Sassuolo | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Bologna | 1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Lecce | 1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Monza | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
40.84% ( -0.8) | 24.17% ( 0.04) | 34.99% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 60.54% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( -0.03) | 41.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( -0.02) | 64.35% ( 0.02) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% ( -0.38) | 20.7% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.69% ( -0.6) | 53.31% ( 0.6) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% ( 0.41) | 23.65% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.24% ( 0.59) | 57.75% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |