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Sassuolo logo
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 8, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Sassuolo
3 - 2
Modena

Falcinelli (11'), Mosti (30', 52')
Panada (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Berardi (45+2' pen.), Ayhan (88')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Sassuolo and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

Last Six:
    Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
    Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

    Modena

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Modena 3-1 Catanzaro
      Sunday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 59.47%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

      Result
      SassuoloDrawModena
      21.12% (0.619 0.62) 19.41% (0.245 0.25) 59.47% (-0.864 -0.86)
      Both teams to score 66.38% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      70.63% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)29.37% (0.313 0.31)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      49.57% (-0.383 -0.38)50.43% (0.383 0.38)
      Sassuolo Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      73.63% (0.33200000000001 0.33)26.36% (-0.333 -0.33)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      38.49% (0.44 0.44)61.51% (-0.443 -0.44)
      Modena Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      90.15% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)9.84% (0.298 0.3)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      67.33% (-0.697 -0.7)32.66% (0.696 0.7)
      Score Analysis
          Sassuolo 21.12%
          Modena 59.47%
          Draw 19.41%
      SassuoloDrawModena
      2-1 @ 5.35% (0.127 0.13)
      1-0 @ 3.46% (0.094 0.09)
      3-2 @ 2.76% (0.055 0.05)
      3-1 @ 2.38% (0.078 0.08)
      2-0 @ 2.31% (0.084 0.08)
      3-0 @ 1.03% (0.047 0.05)
      4-2 @ 0.92% (0.027 0.03)
      Other @ 2.93%
      Total : 21.12%
      		1-1 @ 8.02% (0.115 0.11)
      2-2 @ 6.2% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
      0-0 @ 2.6% (0.047 0.05)
      3-3 @ 2.13% (0.015 0.02)
      Other @ 0.47%
      Total : 19.41%
      		1-2 @ 9.3% (0.012 0.01)
      1-3 @ 7.19% (-0.086 -0.09)
      0-2 @ 6.97% (-0.057 -0.06)
      0-1 @ 6.02% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
      0-3 @ 5.39% (-0.116 -0.12)
      2-3 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
      1-4 @ 4.17% (-0.105 -0.11)
      0-4 @ 3.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
      2-4 @ 2.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
      1-5 @ 1.93% (-0.075 -0.07)
      0-5 @ 1.45% (-0.071 -0.07)
      2-5 @ 1.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
      3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
      Other @ 3.85%
      Total : 59.47%

      How you voted: Sassuolo vs Modena

      Sassuolo
      81.1%
      Draw
      3.8%
      Modena
      15.1%
      53
      rhs 2.0
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