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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
2 - 3
Gosport Borough

Potter (11'), Carbon (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yearwood (51'), Wooden (60'), Carbon (80')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Oxford City and Gosport Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 4-1 Oxford City
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-2 Gosport Borough
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Gosport Borough had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 1-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Gosport Borough win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawGosport Borough
53.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 21.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.19% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 64.25% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.58%34.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)56.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (0.027000000000001 0.03)13.1% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.26% (0.052 0.05)39.73% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Gosport Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)26.06% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)61.1% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 53.37%
    Gosport Borough 25.19%
    Draw 21.43%
Oxford CityDrawGosport Borough
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.32%
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 9.33% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.42%
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.19%

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