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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
1 - 1
Weston

Gravata (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reid (51')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Chippenham Town and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salisbury 3-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
28.45% (0.121 0.12) 24.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 47.29% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.16% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.135 0.13)45.06% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (0.13 0.13)67.41% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.158 0.16)29.28% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.195 0.2)65.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.17% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16% (0.011999999999993 0.01)50.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 28.45%
    Weston-super-Mare 47.29%
    Draw 24.25%
Chippenham TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.23% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.66% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 47.29%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Weston
2-1
Chippenham
Willmott (45+3'), Reid (90' pen.)
Owen-Evans (20')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Chippenham
0-1
Weston
Mannings (40')
rhs 2.0
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