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Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Feyenoord

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Feyenoord

Hansen (34')
Onal (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lotomba (88')
Beelen (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Feyenoord

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 NAC Breda
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-1 Feyenoord

 While Feyenoord enter this match as the favourites, they have not been at their best this season and are also missing a few key players, perhaps none more so than Santiago Gimenez, who is likely to miss the remainder of the calendar year. In addition, the Pride of South are also likely to have one eye on their midweek trip to Spain to face Girona in a crucial Champions League fixture, which could force Brian Priske to err on the side of caution in his selection this week. For those reasons, we feel that NEC could sneak a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 58.9%. A win for NEC had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NECDrawFeyenoord
20.78% (-0.181 -0.18) 20.33% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 58.9% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 62.26% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.58% (-0.319 -0.32)34.43% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.65% (-0.36 -0.36)56.35% (0.362 0.36)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)29.63% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.421 -0.42)65.67% (0.423 0.42)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)11.53% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.56% (-0.117 -0.12)36.44% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    NEC 20.78%
    Feyenoord 58.9%
    Draw 20.33%
NECDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.16% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 20.78%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.97% (0.096 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.74% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.1% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.34% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 58.9%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

NEC
23.1%
Draw
15.4%
Feyenoord
61.5%
26
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nijmegen
2-3
Feyenoord
Sano (47'), Hansen (80')
Nuytinck (49')
Stengs (45'), Minteh (57'), Ueda (87')
Lopez (33'), Jahanbakhsh (90+4'), Sauer (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2024 5pm
Final
Feyenoord
1-0
Nijmegen
Paixao (59')
Minteh (71'), Maduro (90+8')
Minteh (72')

Verdonk (67'), Hansen (68')
> Match Report
Jan 14, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
Feyenoord
2-2
Nijmegen
Dilrosun (17'), Gimenez (28')
Maduro (27'), Wieffer (75')
Proper (45+1'), Mattsson (53')
van Rooij (24'), Verdonk (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Feyenoord
4-4
Nijmegen
(Aggregate 4-4 | Feyenoord win 5-3 on penalties)
Kokcu (90' pen.), Paixao (90+2'), Gimenez (98'), Dilrosun (116')
Verdonk (33'), Marques (45'), Bruijn (96', 118')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Feyenoord
2-0
Nijmegen
Dilrosun (9'), Kokcu (45+3' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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