MX23RW : Saturday, September 14 16:45:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
NEC

Sittard
0 - 3
Nijmegen


Aiko (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ogawa (35'), Rober (40'), Ouaissa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, August 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Fortuna Sittard 1-0 NEC

Fortuna Sittard have the momentum heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing in front of their fans makes them huge favourites. While we expect NEC to put up a good fight, we can see Fortuna just about doing enough to carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawNEC
46.04% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06) 23.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 30.17% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-0.175 -0.17)41.93% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (-0.177 -0.18)64.33% (0.182 0.18)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)18.44% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.159 -0.16)49.62% (0.163 0.16)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)26.53% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)61.73% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 46.04%
    NEC 30.17%
    Draw 23.79%
Fortuna SittardDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 30.17%

How you voted: Sittard vs Nijmegen

Fortuna Sittard
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
NEC
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sittard
1-1
Nijmegen
Sierhuis (75')
Ozyakup (37'), Siovas (90')
Rober (59')
Verdonk (87')
Dec 15, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Nijmegen
4-1
Sittard
Mattsson (33', 70'), Ogawa (45+2'), Hansen (75')
Proper (16'), Tavsan (42'), Schone (86')
Hoedemakers (49')
Sierhuis (69')
Guth (53'), Pinto (83')
Noslin (24')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Sittard
1-1
Nijmegen
Gladon (90+4' pen.)
Embalo (41')
Dimata (65' pen.)
Sep 10, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
1-1
Sittard
Marques (90+4')
Ozyakup (71')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
0-1
Sittard

Schone (29')
Flemming (13')
Baghdadi (35'), Semedo (72'), Siovas (90'), van Osch (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV55002031715
2AZ AlkmaarAZ431050510
3FC UtrechtUtrecht431063310
4Groningen42207348
5Fortuna SittardSittard32015326
6Sparta RotterdamSparta41304316
7NECNijmegen52035506
8Feyenoord31207345
9Willem II41215415
10FC Twente41215505
11Heerenveen31115234
12PEC Zwolle511358-34
13Ajax21012203
14Go Ahead Eagles410327-53
15NAC BredaNAC Breda4103411-73
16Heracles402227-52
17Almere CityAlmere City4013212-101
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk4004212-100


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!