Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 1
Nijmegen

Gladon (90+4' pen.)
Embalo (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dimata (65' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 3-0 Sittard
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fortuna Sittard 1-1 NEC

Neither team is on a good run of results heading into this one and the clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with both sides settling for a point apiece at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	NEC
35.38% ( -0.19)	25.4% ( -0)	39.22% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 56.2% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4% (

-0.01)

47.6% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.2% (

-0.01)

69.8% (

0.01)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

-0.12)

26.08% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87% (

-0.16)

61.13% (

0.16)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03% (

0.09)

23.97% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79% (

0.14)

58.21% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 35.38%

NEC 39.22%

Draw 25.4%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.38%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.22%