Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Excelsior
3 - 0
Sittard

Pierie (59'), Driouech (73'), Goudmijn (85')
Azarkan (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Embalo (55'), Cox (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, May 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 2-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Excelsior have been defensively solid of late, and we can see them coming away from this weekend's affair with another clean sheet. That said, we can also see the hosts edging out the away side here, all but confirming their place in the Eredivisie next season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
47.23% ( 0.01)	23.76% ( -0.01)	29.01% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

0.02)

42.43% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.16% (

0.02)

64.84% (

-0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84% (

0.01)

18.16% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.86% (

0.02)

49.14% (

-0.03)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

0.01)

27.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

0.01)

63.07% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 47.23%

Fortuna Sittard 29.01%

Draw 23.75%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.23%	1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.01%