Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 0
SBV Excelsior

Vita (87')
Seuntjens (66'), Yilmaz (78')
Seuntjens (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ayoub (47'), Eijgenraam (84'), Kharchouch (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, September 10 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	FC Volendam	6	-13	4
17	Go Ahead Eagles	6	-7	3
18	Fortuna Sittard	6	-9	1

We said: Fortuna Sittard 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Given their dismal start to the new campaign, the onus is more on Fortuna Sittard to seize the initiative and take charge of proceedings. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils here with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	SBV Excelsior
42.36% ( 0.24)	25.38% ( -1)	32.25% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

3.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

4.44)

48.23% (

-4.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

3.93)

70.38% (

-3.93)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

2.07)

22.67% (

-2.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.68% (

2.98)

56.32% (

-2.97)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

2.73)

28.3% (

-2.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

3.31)

64.02% (

-3.31)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 42.37%

SBV Excelsior 32.25%

Draw 25.37%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.52% ( -1.19) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.37%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -1.26) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.5) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.25%