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FC Twente logo
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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Excelsior

FC Twente
4 - 0
SBV Excelsior

Cleonise (1'), Tzolis (8'), Cerny (62', 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Twente 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Despite boasting a poor record in the recent editions of this fixture, Twente possess a significantly better squad compared to their opponents and we are tipping them to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
61.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 20.8% (0.00099999999999767 0) 17.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.113 -0.11)41.39% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.117 -0.12)63.78% (0.119 0.12)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.15 -0.15)36.74% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.48% (-0.152 -0.15)73.53% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 61.39%
    SBV Excelsior 17.81%
    Draw 20.8%
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.8%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: FC Twente vs SBV Excelsior

FC Twente
Draw
SBV Excelsior
FC Twente
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2017 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
SBV Excelsior
Boere (2')
Cuevas (38'), Lam (87')
Faik (41'), Massop (74'), Karami (80')
Caenepeel (84')
Feb 12, 2017 11.30am
Aug 6, 2016 6.45pm
FC Twente
1-2
SBV Excelsior
Oosterwijk (82')
Trajkovski (83')
Vermeulen (13'), Hasselbaink (61')
Koolwijk (17'), Kuipers (54'), Bruins (87')
Apr 20, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax29234262224073
2PSV EindhovenPSV29204586335364
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht29168553421156
5FC Twente29139755411448
6AZ AlkmaarAZ29137947331446
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heracles29811103648-1235
9Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
10Heerenveen2997133652-1634
11NECNijmegen2996144243-133
12Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
13Groningen2988132844-1632
14PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2987143149-1831
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City2947182057-3719


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