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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
6 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 6 |
7 | SBV Excelsior | 3 | -1 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 6 |
7 | SBV Excelsior | 3 | -1 | 6 |
8 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
61.39% ( 0.07) | 20.8% ( 0) | 17.81% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.61% ( -0.11) | 41.39% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.22% ( -0.12) | 63.78% ( 0.12) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87% ( -0.01) | 13% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.48% ( -0.03) | 39.52% ( 0.03) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.26% ( -0.15) | 36.74% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.48% ( -0.15) | 73.53% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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