Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Third Round | 2nd Leg

May 29, 2022 at 5pm UK

Cars Jeans Stadion

ADO Den Haag
4 - 4
SBV Excelsior

Verheydt (34'), Pires (40'), Steijn (47'), Komljenovic (97')
Amofa (29'), Moreo Klas (42'), Steijn (43'), Asante (65'), Pires (96')
Asante (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Azarkan (79'), Niemeijer (83'), Dallinga (90+3'), El Yaakoubi (108')
Wieffer (32')
Chacon (90+2')

Excelsior win 8-7 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between ADO Den Haag and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

ADO Den Haag

Last Six:

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	FC Eindhoven	37	26	70
4	ADO Den Haag	37	26	67
5	SBV Excelsior	37	25	65

SBV Excelsior

Last Six:

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	ADO Den Haag	37	26	67
5	SBV Excelsior	37	25	65
6	Roda JC	37	26	63

We said: ADO Den Haag 1-0 SBV Excelsior

Den Haag are a real force to reckon with on home turf, as they currently boast an eight-game home unbeaten run, winning five of those matches. We are backing them to emerge triumphant on Sunday and book their place in the 2022-23 Eredivisie season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
ADO Den Haag	Draw	SBV Excelsior
54.34% ( -0.05)	22.12% ( 0.01)	23.53% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.48% (

-0.01)

39.52% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.13% (

-0.01)

61.86% (

0.02)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45% (

-0.02)

14.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.41% (

-0.04)

42.58% (

0.04)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

0.02)

30.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.72% (

0.03)

66.27% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

ADO Den Haag 54.34%

SBV Excelsior 23.53%

Draw 22.12%

ADO Den Haag	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.34%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 23.53%