Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38

May 6, 2022 at 7pm UK

SBV Excelsior
2 - 2
NAC Breda

Dallinga (45+1'), Niemeijer (48')
Driouech (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Velanas (10'), Malone (90+4')
Banzuzi (65'), Velanas (71')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NAC Breda.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

Last Six:

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	ADO Den Haag	37	26	67
5	SBV Excelsior	37	25	65
6	Roda JC	37	26	63

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	NAC Breda
55.72%	21.03%	23.25%

Both teams to score 63.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.42%

34.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.48%

56.52%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.54%

12.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.58%

38.42%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84%

63.16%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 55.72%

NAC Breda 23.25%

Draw 21.03%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 7.46% 1-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.47% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.96% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.49% Total : 55.72%	1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.03%	1-2 @ 5.93% 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.62% Total : 23.25%