Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
