Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 10, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Goffertstadion

NEC
1 - 1
Sittard

Marques (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ozyakup (71')
Duarte (55'), Ferati (76'), Erdogan (85'), Ozyakup (87'), Siovas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-0 NEC
Sunday, September 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	RKC Waalwijk	5	2	6
9	NEC	5	2	6
10	SBV Excelsior	5	-8	6

Fortuna Sittard

Last Six:

Last Game: Sittard 3-4 Utrecht
Friday, September 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	FC Volendam	6	-13	4
17	Go Ahead Eagles	6	-7	3
18	Fortuna Sittard	5	-9	0

We said: NEC 2-1 Fortuna Sittard

Given Fortuna Sittard's recent struggles, NEC will definitely fancy themselves to get the job done in front of their fans. We are tipping the home side to scrape a narrow victory come the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
61.75% ( 1.48)	22% ( -0.44)	16.25% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 47.94% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

0.05)

49.22% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

0.05)

71.28% (

-0.05)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58% (

0.51)

15.42% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.74% (

0.94)

44.26% (

-0.94)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.68% (

-1.29)

43.32% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.44% (

-1.1)

79.56% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

NEC 61.74%

Fortuna Sittard 16.25%

Draw 21.99%

NEC	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.16% Total : 61.74%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.25%