Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
0 - 0
NEC

Haye (79')
Halilovic (62')

Elkarouani (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-1 Sittard
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	10
6	Heerenveen	4	5	8
7	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	7

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 1-1 NEC
Thursday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	SBV Excelsior	4	-5	6
9	NEC	4	2	5
10	FC Utrecht	5	-2	5

Following consecutive wins heading into this weekend's clash, Heerenveen will fancy themselves to keep the juggernaut rolling. The home side have also been rock-solid at the back, and we are tipping them to scrape a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
57.01% ( 0.04)	22.34% ( 0)	20.64% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

-0.07)

44.03% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

-0.07)

66.41% (

0.07)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.01)

15.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

-0.02)

43.87% (

0.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

-0.08)

35.28% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0.09)

72.04% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 57.01%

NEC 20.64%

Draw 22.34%

Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.01%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.34%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.64%