Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.