Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 15, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

van Hooijdonk (30', 61'), Musaba (87')
Musaba (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mulenga (89')
Berden (60'), Brouwers (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38
10	Go Ahead Eagles	33	-12	36

Go Ahead Eagles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38
10	Go Ahead Eagles	33	-12	36
11	Groningen	33	-13	36

We said: Heerenveen 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles

These teams are evenly matched and have put together some solid defensive performances this season, with both being involved in several tight games. That 5-0 defeat against the Dutch champions will not sit well with Tobiasen and his side, so we expect them to come out more determined on Sunday against a side who tend to get overwhelmed late in matches when a game is close. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
50.08% ( -0.74)	24.6% ( 0.25)	25.32% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 53.4% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2% (

-0.62)

48.79% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1% (

-0.57)

70.89% (

0.56)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.49% (

-0.54)

19.5% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.61% (

-0.89)

51.38% (

0.88)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

0.07)

33.66% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

0.08)

70.31% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 50.07%

Go Ahead Eagles 25.32%

Draw 24.59%

Heerenveen	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.07%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.32%