Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.