Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.