Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.