Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.