Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Groningen in this match.