Derby2 - 1West Brom
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship
for
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship
for
We said: Derby County 2-1 West Bromwich Albion
After a heartbreaking defeat at Luton last week, Derby will be raring to produce a good display and three points in front of their Pride Park faithful. Likely under the leadership of an interim manager, the impending departure of Corberan is poised to send shockwaves around the Black Country, with an unsettled West Brom side set to struggle on Boxing Day. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
40.27% ( 0.19) | 26.93% ( -0.09) | 32.8% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( 0.35) | 54.49% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( 0.29) | 75.85% ( -0.29) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( 0.27) | 26.55% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.25% ( 0.35) | 61.75% ( -0.35) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( 0.11) | 31.06% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.63% ( 0.13) | 67.37% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.27% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 32.8% |
