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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 26.98% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.21%).
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Swansea City |
47.33% ( 2.35) | 25.69% ( 0.18) | 26.98% ( -2.53) |
Both teams to score 51.44% ( -2.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.94% ( -2.17) | 52.06% ( 2.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% ( -1.91) | 73.79% ( 1.91) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% ( 0.16) | 22% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% ( 0.23) | 55.31% ( -0.23) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.95% ( -3.06) | 34.06% ( 3.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.26% ( -3.44) | 70.74% ( 3.44) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 1) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.26% Total : 47.32% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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