Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Derby
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
14
We said: Derby County 1-1 Swansea City
Without the presence of loan striker Yates in attack, we are expecting Derby to struggle to break down a typically-resolute Swansea defence. The visitors have pushed promotion candidates Burnley and Leeds all the way in recent weeks and should be confident of earning a positive result at Pride Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Swansea City |
47.8% ( -0.5) | 25.58% ( 0.06) | 26.62% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
