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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Derby logo

Stoke
2 - 1
Derby

Cannon (9' pen.), Gibson (82')
Moran (71'), Stevens (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Johansson (68' og.)
Harness (48'), Phillips (54'), Adams (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Stoke
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Derby County

 After putting in a respectable performance against Premier League opposition in the EFL Cup, Stoke should be confident of earning three points at home to Derby. The Rams are winless from six Championship away matches so far, and we do not envisage the visitors breaking that streak in Staffordshire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
41.84% (0.219 0.22) 25.45% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 32.71% (-0.315 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-0.496 -0.5)48.36% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-0.457 -0.46)70.5% (0.452 0.45)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.111 -0.11)22.98% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (-0.16 -0.16)56.78% (0.153 0.15)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.444 -0.44)28.06% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (-0.564 -0.56)63.72% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.84%
    Derby County 32.71%
    Draw 25.44%
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.84%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.71%

How you voted: Stoke vs Derby

Stoke City
54.1%
Draw
29.7%
Derby County
16.2%
37
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
3-0
Stoke
Nelson (19'), Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (41')
Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
1-2
Derby
Ince (78')
Wilmot (16'), Vrancic (61'), Tymon (71')
Plange (16'), Kazim-Richards (85')
Plange (59')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
2-1
Stoke
Bird (31'), Davies (34')
Shinnie (8'), Sibley (38')
Ince (58')
Sawyers (33'), Skiri Oestigaard (77'), Ince (89')
> Match Report
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
1-0
Derby
Brown (74')
Smith (21')

Cresswell (88')
> Match Report
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Derby
0-0
Stoke
Buchanan (48'), Knight (76'), Bielik (90+2')
Cousins (71')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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