Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
10
We said: Sunderland 1-0 Derby County
Sunderland will be determined to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, and we can see the Black Cats shading a close game on Tuesday night, with the winner potentially coming in the latter stages of the fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Derby County |
43.22% ( 0) | 25.52% ( -0.01) | 31.26% |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 0.02) | 49.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( 0.02) | 71.23% ( -0.02) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( 0.01) | 22.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.69% ( 0.02) | 56.31% ( -0.02) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( 0.01) | 29.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.59% ( 0.01) | 65.4% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Sunderland 43.22%
Derby County 31.26%
Draw 25.51%
| Sunderland | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.26% |
How you voted: Sunderland vs Derby
Sunderland
84.6%Draw
9.0%Derby County
6.4%78
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2007 3pm
Form Guide
