MX23RW : Friday, November 8 03:01:19| >> :600:453099:453099:
Barrow
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Derby logo

Barrow
0 - 0
Derby

FT

Chirewa (13'), Mendez-Laing (70')
Barrow win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Barrow and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Barrow 1-2 Derby County

While the hosts will be full of confidence after a 4-0 win in their last game, but the visitors boast more quality throughout their squad and should secure a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawDerby County
34.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.004999999999999 0)73.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.01400000000001 0.01)28.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 34.53%
    Derby County 39.07%
    Draw 26.39%
BarrowDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.07%

How you voted: Barrow vs Derby

Barrow
30.2%
Draw
6.3%
Derby County
63.5%
63
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2020 12pm
First Round
Derby
0-0
Barrow
(Aggregate 0-0 | Derby win 3-2 on penalties)
Brown (44'), Jones (72')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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