MX23RW : Saturday, March 29 13:16:06| >> :600:692358:692358:
Barrow
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Derby logo

Barrow
0 - 0
Derby

FT

Chirewa (13'), Mendez-Laing (70')
Barrow win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Barrow and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Barrow 1-2 Derby County

While the hosts will be full of confidence after a 4-0 win in their last game, but the visitors boast more quality throughout their squad and should secure a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawDerby County
34.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.004999999999999 0)73.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.01400000000001 0.01)28.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 34.53%
    Derby County 39.07%
    Draw 26.39%
BarrowDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.07%

How you voted: Barrow vs Derby

Barrow
Draw
Derby County
Barrow
30.2%
Draw
6.3%
Derby County
63.5%
63
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2020 12pm
First Round
Derby
0-0
Barrow
(Aggregate 0-0 | Derby win 3-2 on penalties)
Brown (44'), Jones (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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