Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Blackburn4 - 2Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Blackburn
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Derby County
The opening day of a season is a complete unknown, and that is particularly the case with two well-matched teams squaring off here. Derby will be eager to make an impression, yet we are backing Rovers to make a positive start to their campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Derby County |
29.44% ( 0.04) | 25.54% ( 0.01) | 45.02% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.03) | 50.03% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.02) | 72.01% ( 0.03) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( 0.01) | 31.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.55% ( 0.01) | 67.45% ( -0.01) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.03) | 22.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.4% ( -0.05) | 55.6% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers 29.44%
Derby County 45.02%
Draw 25.53%
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.44% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.02% |
How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby
Blackburn Rovers
65.2%Draw
18.4%Derby County
16.5%158
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-2
Blackburn
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Derby
3-0
Blackburn
