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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Southampton logo

Blackburn
0 - 0
Southampton


Dolan (59'), Rankin-Costello (90+3'), Adams (90+5')
FT

Brooks (62'), Pickering (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-3 Southampton

All the signs are there that this could be somewhat of a goal-fest, although it is unclear who may prevail at Ewood Park. For us, we have to give the nod to the visitors, who have more reason to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
27.03% (-1.303 -1.3) 22.16% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 50.82% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 63.44% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.73% (-0.639 -0.64)36.28% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.6% (-0.704 -0.7)58.4% (0.708 0.71)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-1.196 -1.2)25.75% (1.2 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-1.653 -1.65)60.69% (1.658 1.66)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (0.23399999999999 0.23)14.56% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (0.446 0.45)42.62% (-0.442 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 27.03%
    Southampton 50.82%
    Draw 22.16%
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.246 0.25)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.15% (0.135 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 50.82%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Southampton

Blackburn Rovers
21.2%
Draw
24.2%
Southampton
54.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Southampton
4-0
Blackburn
Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')
Apr 9, 2005 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Southampton
Reid (55'), Gamst Pedersen (11'), Jakobsson (48' og.)
Emerton (50'), Reid (74')

Camara (30')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Blackburn
Svensson (74'), Phillips (32'), Beattie (90' pen.)
Ferguson (50')
Ferguson (82'), Johansson (90')
Feb 28, 2004 3pm
Oct 25, 2003 3pm
Southampton
2-0
Blackburn
Beattie (59'), Griffit (87')

Todd (60')
Cole (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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