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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Southampton |
27.03% ( -1.3) | 22.16% ( -0.08) | 50.82% ( 1.38) |
Both teams to score 63.44% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.73% ( -0.64) | 36.28% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.6% ( -0.7) | 58.4% ( 0.71) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% ( -1.2) | 25.75% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.31% ( -1.65) | 60.69% ( 1.66) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.44% ( 0.23) | 14.56% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.39% ( 0.45) | 42.62% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.03% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 6.07% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.36% Total : 50.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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