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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Ipswich Town |
29.07% ( 0.41) | 23.57% ( 0.02) | 47.35% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 59.98% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.46% ( 0.16) | 41.54% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.06% ( 0.16) | 63.94% ( -0.16) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( 0.35) | 27.06% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% ( 0.46) | 62.43% ( -0.46) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( -0.11) | 17.77% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% ( -0.19) | 48.47% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Ipswich Town |
2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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