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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Ipswich logo

Blackburn
0 - 1
Ipswich


Pickering (6'), Dolan (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chaplin (9')
Davis (3'), Luongo (81'), Jackson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-3 Ipswich Town

While Blackburn should arguably always pack a punch with Sammie Szmodics strutting his stuff in the final third, the hosts are bereft of a winning formula and must now try to quell the Championship's most prolific attacking unit. With fresh injury concerns also rearing their ugly heads, Eustace's winless run is likely to stretch into the double figures on Friday, as Ipswich do all they can to surge to the summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawIpswich Town
29.07% (0.406 0.41) 23.57% (0.023 0.02) 47.35% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 59.98% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (0.155 0.16)41.54% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (0.155 0.16)63.94% (-0.155 -0.16)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (0.35400000000001 0.35)27.06% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (0.461 0.46)62.43% (-0.461 -0.46)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)17.77% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (-0.186 -0.19)48.47% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 29.07%
    Ipswich Town 47.35%
    Draw 23.57%
Blackburn RoversDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.11% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.07%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 47.35%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Ipswich

Blackburn Rovers
23.0%
Draw
13.0%
Ipswich Town
64.0%
100
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Ipswich
4-3
Blackburn
Clarke (4'), Broadhead (18'), Hirst (25'), Luongo (79')
Morsy (48'), Hirst (59'), Chaplin (74')
Sigurdsson (9'), Clarke (52' og.), Szmodics (65')
Moran (31'), Sigurdsson (40'), Carter (62'), Travis (72')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
2-0
Ipswich
Graham (65' pen.), Nuttall (74')
Lenihan (69'), Nuttall (76')

Chambers (64')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ipswich
2-2
Blackburn
Edwards (5'), Edun (90')
Harrison (35'), Chambers (73')
Graham (20'), Dack (29')
Bennett (53'), Lenihan (88'), Smallwood (90')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Blackburn
Lawrence (38', 57'), Berra (54')
Lawrence (42'), Dozzell (65')
Akpan (43'), Graham (74' pen.)
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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