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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Bristol City |
60.45% (![]() | 20.8% (![]() | 18.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.17% (![]() | 39.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.81% (![]() | 62.19% (![]() |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.22% (![]() | 12.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.93% (![]() | 39.07% (![]() |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.21% (![]() | 34.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.48% (![]() | 71.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Bristol City |
2-1 @ 9.93% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.41% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 3.62% Total : 60.45% | 1-1 @ 9.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 5.1% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 18.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 76 | 25 | 51 | 80 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 80 |
3 | Burnley | 38 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 52 | 11 | 41 | 78 |
4 | Sunderland | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 69 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 59 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
7 | Bristol City | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 57 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 54 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 52 |
10 | Watford | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 |
11 | Millwall | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 51 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 60 | 54 | 6 | 49 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
17 | Portsmouth | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 42 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 42 |
19 | Hull City | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 39 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 33 |
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