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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Bristol City

Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Knight (16'), James (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Apart from the 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Chelsea in the EFL Cup, Middlesbrough have arguably created the chances to win all of their recent matches, so Boro should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Bristol City did well to take their top-flight opponents to penalty kicks on Wednesday night, although we believe that the Robins' wait for a win will continue at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
44.17% (-0.53 -0.53) 26.56% (-0.147 -0.15) 29.28% (0.683 0.68)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.826 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.88 0.88)54.21% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.731 0.73)75.62% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.129 0.13)24.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.178 0.18)58.83% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.98599999999999 0.99)33.41% (-0.97900000000001 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (1.064 1.06)70.04% (-1.058 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 44.17%
    Bristol City 29.28%
    Draw 26.55%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Bristol City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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