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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Millwall


Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hutchinson (90+2')
Norton-Cuffy (74'), Leonard (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Millwall

Millwall have only actually lost four times away from home in the Championship this season, sharing the spoils on five occasions, while Bristol City have dropped points in half of their 12 home league games in 2023-24. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are backing a low-scoring draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
42.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 26.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 31.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 51.77% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)52.8% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)74.42% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)24.68% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)59.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)31.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.6% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.35%
    Millwall 31.25%
    Draw 26.39%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.25%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
60.7%
Draw
28.6%
Millwall
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
0-1
Bristol City

Hutchinson (67')
James (90+4')
Williams (25'), Pring (69'), Vyner (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol City
1-2
Millwall
Hutchinson (71' og.)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
1-0
Bristol City
Wallace (64' pen.)
McNamara (79')

Williams (59'), Atkinson (63')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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