Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
The Den
Millwall2 - 0QPR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-2 Queens Park Rangers
Millwall were able to keep their first clean sheet in six matches last time out, but the Lions failed to consistently threaten a Stoke side who have been in a real rut of late. QPR were impressive in stages of their contest with Southampton despite defeat, so we reckon that the R's will produce a plucky away performance to earn maximum points at The Den on Boxing Day. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
44.21% ( -0.08) | 27.84% ( 0.04) | 27.96% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.94% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.53% ( -0.11) | 59.47% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.17% ( -0.08) | 79.83% ( 0.08) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.09) | 26.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.96% ( -0.12) | 62.05% ( 0.12) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.03) | 37.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.95% ( -0.02) | 74.05% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 44.2%
Queens Park Rangers 27.96%
Draw 27.83%
| Millwall | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.96% |
How you voted: Millwall vs QPR
Millwall
25.0%Draw
30.0%Queens Park Rangers
45.0%20
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
