Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Goutas (78')
Meite (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Millwall

After a morale-boosting draw last time out, Edwards will hope that his Millwall side can now kick on. However, we feel that Cardiff will get back to winning ways in front of their own supporters, possibly having to come from behind to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Millwall
40.13% ( -0.06)	27.7% ( -0.02)	32.18% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.17% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

0.1)

57.54% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67% (

0.08)

78.33% (

-0.08)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

0.01)

28.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.28% (

0.02)

63.72% (

-0.02)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96% (

0.12)

33.04% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

0.13)

69.64% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 40.12%

Millwall 32.17%

Draw 27.69%

Cardiff City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.12%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.17%