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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
43.44% ( -0.01) | 27.13% ( 0) | 29.43% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.68% ( -0.01) | 56.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.65% ( -0) | 77.35% ( 0.01) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.28% ( -0.01) | 25.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.36% ( -0.01) | 60.64% ( 0.02) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% ( 0) | 34.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% ( 0.01) | 71.12% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |