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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Millwall


Rinomhota (38'), Allsop (62'), Kipre (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (26')
Bradshaw (20'), Cooper (28'), Styles (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Millwall

Cardiff are in danger of slipping into the relegation zone in the Championship while they scramble to appoint a new manager, with the Welsh side needing to find a way to earn three points on Saturday. Millwall have faltered on the road this season so will be not expecting to breeze past a struggling Cardiff side, meaning a share of the spoils is likely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
43.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 27.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)60.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.43%
    Millwall 29.43%
    Draw 27.13%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.43%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Millwall
30.8%
52
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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