Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
3 - 0
Millwall

Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Gooch (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Saville (22'), Honeyman (34'), Mitchell (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Sunderland
Friday, November 11 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Brondby
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Millwall

Having ended their recent losing streak, Rowett will be far more optimistic about his team's chances in the North East. However, we are backing Sunderland to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, potentially with a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Millwall
46.33% ( -0.15)	26.52% ( -0.29)	27.14% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 49.09% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.83% (

1.31)

55.16% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.59% (

1.07)

76.41% (

-1.07)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

0.5)

23.78% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07% (

0.72)

57.93% (

-0.72)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

1.07)

35.59% (

-1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

1.09)

72.36% (

-1.09)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 46.33%

Millwall 27.14%

Draw 26.51%

Sunderland	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.33%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) Other @ 2% Total : 27.14%