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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Millwall |
32.18% ( -0) | 27.28% ( -0) | 40.54% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.02% ( 0) | 55.98% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.93% ( 0) | 77.07% ( -0) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( -0) | 32.24% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.27% ( -0) | 68.73% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% ( 0) | 27.09% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% ( 0) | 62.47% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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