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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
2 - 1
West Brom

Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Mitchell (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (20')
O'Shea (68'), Bartley (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although West Brom possess the quality to post a second away win in succession, it is difficult to ignore Millwall's recent run of results. As the only team to have posted maximum points for three matches, we feel that the Lions will extend that streak at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.18% (0.0040000000000049 0) 29.86% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 30.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 41.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)65.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)83.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.87% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)37.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 39.17%
    West Bromwich Albion 30.96%
    Draw 29.85%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 12.29%
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.85%
0-1 @ 11.9%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
76.9%
Draw
5.8%
West Bromwich Albion
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
Aug 13, 2019 8pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Pearce (57' og.)
Ajayi (67')
Smith (75')
Wallace (62'), Thompson (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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