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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
2 - 1
West Brom

Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Mitchell (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (20')
O'Shea (68'), Bartley (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although West Brom possess the quality to post a second away win in succession, it is difficult to ignore Millwall's recent run of results. As the only team to have posted maximum points for three matches, we feel that the Lions will extend that streak at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.18% (0.0040000000000049 0) 29.86% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 30.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 41.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)65.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)83.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.87% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)37.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 39.17%
    West Bromwich Albion 30.96%
    Draw 29.85%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 12.29%
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.85%
0-1 @ 11.9%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
76.9%
Draw
5.8%
West Bromwich Albion
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
Aug 13, 2019 8pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Pearce (57' og.)
Ajayi (67')
Smith (75')
Wallace (62'), Thompson (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds23146343152848
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd23155332131948
3Burnley2313823092147
4Sunderland23128336201644
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2211562720738
6Watford2211473229337
7Middlesbrough23106741311036
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2381142718935
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds239683133-233
10Swansea CitySwansea238692724330
11Bristol City237972728-130
12Norwich CityNorwich237883935429
13Millwall227782220228
14Derby CountyDerby2376102929027
15Coventry CityCoventry2376103234-227
16Preston North EndPreston2351172329-626
17Queens Park RangersQPR2351082331-825
18Luton TownLuton2374122539-1425
19Stoke CityStoke2357112332-922
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2256112439-1521
21Portsmouth214892637-1120
22Hull City2347122132-1119
23Cardiff CityCardiff2246122137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2246122249-2718


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