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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Blackpool

Millwall
2 - 1
Blackpool

Grimshaw (14' og.), Afobe (63')
Cooper (7'), Wallace (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Patino (33')
Patino (60'), Corbeanu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-2 QPR
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 3-0 Blackpool
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Blackpool

Both Millwall and Blackpool will be fired up for Saturday's contest, as they look to return to winning ways and climb into the top half of the table. However, with little to separate these two sides, a score draw could be on the cards at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackpool
52.42% (0.33 0.33) 26.69% (0.044 0.04) 20.88% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 42.63% (-0.565 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57% (-0.491 -0.49)60.42% (0.486 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44% (-0.375 -0.38)80.56% (0.37 0.37)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)23.27% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)57.2% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.56% (-0.691 -0.69)44.44% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.51% (-0.569 -0.57)80.48% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 52.41%
    Blackpool 20.88%
    Draw 26.69%
MillwallDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 15.07% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.99% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 52.41%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.34% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.88%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackpool

Millwall
56.5%
Draw
26.1%
Blackpool
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Blackpool
Wallace (63'), Cooper (90')
Mitchell (50'), Saville (62'), Malone (69'), Kieftenbeld (74')
Lavery (56')
Dougall (28'), Yates (62'), Anderson (74')
Connolly (14')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Blackpool
Gregory (8'), Wallace (24'), Morison (84' pen.)
Thompson (40'), Beevers (79'), Upson (81')

Ikpeazu (36'), Herron (45'), White (56')
White (76')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Blackpool
1-1
Millwall
Redshaw (82' pen.)
Beevers (35')
Martin (39'), Williams (42'), Ferguson (61'), Thompson (79'), Archer (82')
Edwards (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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