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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Flemming (5', 49')
Wallace (29'), Burey (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McNair (42'), Jones (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Millwall
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

Despite their recent victory over Birmingham, Middlesbrough are yet to prove themselves on the road this season and with The Den being a tricky place to get a result from, a score draw appears to be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
42.71% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 27.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 29.93% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.33% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.07% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.93% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)77.84% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)26.37% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)61.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.06% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 42.71%
    Middlesbrough 29.93%
    Draw 27.35%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.71%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.93%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
51.2%
Draw
37.8%
Middlesbrough
11.0%
82
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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