Watford2 - 1Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Watford | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 6 | -2 | 9 |
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Stoke City | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Middlesbrough | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Luton Town | 6 | -1 | 6 |
We said: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Although Middlesbrough recorded their first win of the season on Saturday, we think that a Watford side who have won two of their three home games this term will edge out Boro in midweek. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
37.52% ( 0.01) | 26.87% ( -0) | 35.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.13% ( 0.01) | 53.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.67% ( 0.01) | 75.33% ( -0.01) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.01) | 27.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.01) | 63.39% ( -0.01) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 0) | 28.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.17% | 64.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.61% |
