Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Huddersfield Town	4	-1	3
19	Stoke City	3	-2	3
20	Reading	3	-4	3

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Sheff Utd
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Reading	3	-4	3
21	Middlesbrough	3	-1	2
22	West Bromwich Albion	3	-1	2

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough

At some point, the likelihood is that forward lines with plenty of quality will eventually find some form, and that could be the case on Wednesday. However, we feel that there is a greater vulnerability about Stoke, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
40.07% ( -0)	27.7%	32.24%

Both teams to score 48.18% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

-0)

57.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

-0)

78.32% (

-0)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

-0)

28.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

-0)

63.76%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

-0)

33% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42%

69.58% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 40.06%

Middlesbrough 32.23%

Draw 27.69%

Stoke City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.23%