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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Sunderland

McGree (25')
McNair (38'), Clarke (40'), Crooks (72'), Jones (80'), Smith (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pritchard (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

Mowbray will return to his former club looking to heap further pressure on Wilder, and there is a strong argument that the visitors are the favourites for this contest. However, a derby could bring the best out of Boro, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
56.13% (0.65 0.65) 25.18% (0.168 0.17) 18.7% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 43.49% (-1.647 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (-1.516 -1.52)57.62% (1.519 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61% (-1.215 -1.22)78.39% (1.219 1.22)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.34 -0.34)20.54% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (-0.544 -0.54)53.06% (0.547 0.55)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.74% (-1.828 -1.83)45.26% (1.831 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.86% (-1.487 -1.49)81.14% (1.489 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.12%
    Sunderland 18.7%
    Draw 25.17%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 14.71% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 56.12%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Sunderland
30.0%
40
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Nov 5, 2017 12.15pm
Apr 26, 2017 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-0
Sunderland
De Roon (8')
Friend (28'), Clayton (31'), da Silva (71')

O'Shea (37'), Gibson (45'), Jones (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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