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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Swansea logo

West Brom
2 - 3
Swansea

Livermore (48'), Diangana (65')
Furlong (43'), Pieters (47'), Rogic (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sorinola (6'), Ntcham (71'), Obafemi (89')
Manning (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Hull City
Saturday, September 17 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Swansea City

West Bromwich Albion will see it as crucial that they put a win on the board at home on Saturday, but they have managed just one victory so far this season, and we cannot predict them putting the Swans to the sword as a result. Instead, we see Martin's men holding this somewhat stagnant Baggies side and returning to south Wales with a valuable point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
59.26% (-0.177 -0.18) 21.8% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 18.94% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)44.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)66.45% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)14.51% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (-0.125 -0.13)42.52% (0.133 0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (0.126 0.13)37.07% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (0.125 0.13)73.85% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 59.26%
    Swansea City 18.94%
    Draw 21.8%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 59.26%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.94%

How you voted: West Brom vs Swansea

West Bromwich Albion
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Swansea City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
Oct 20, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
2-1
West Brom
Piroe (61'), Paterson (83')
Paterson (83'), Bennett (90')
Grant (1')
Ajayi (9'), Furlong (43'), Molumby (45'), Livermore (69')
Mar 13, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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