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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 5 |
15 | Swansea City | 4 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Bristol City | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | West Bromwich Albion | 4 | -1 | 3 |
23 | Luton Town | 4 | -3 | 2 |
24 | Coventry City | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
37.9% ( 4.66) | 27.18% ( -0.36) | 34.91% ( -4.3) |
Both teams to score 50.26% ( 1.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.84% ( 1.62) | 55.15% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.6% ( 1.32) | 76.4% ( -1.32) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% ( 3.73) | 28.19% ( -3.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( 4.48) | 63.88% ( -4.48) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% ( -1.79) | 30.01% ( 1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.87% ( -2.21) | 66.13% ( 2.21) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.63) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.28) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.9% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -1.21) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -1.08) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.58) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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