EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Swansea

Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')

FT
(aet)

Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')

Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Derby County	2	0	3
16	Oxford United	2	0	3
17	Port Vale	2	-3	3

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Norwich City	2	-1	1
22	Swansea City	2	-3	1
23	Bristol City	2	-2	0

We say: Oxford United 0-2 Swansea City

A trip to lower-league opposition is just what the doctor ordered for Swansea as they aim to finally post a first win of the season, with Oxford yet to find a golden touch in front of goal. The U's were indebted to a teenage hero at the weekend and can be expected to put out an experienced side here, but we cannot see Swansea suffering a shock early defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Swansea City
41% ( 3.31)	25.19% ( 0.37)	33.8% ( -3.68)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-2.12)

46.95% (

2.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

-2.02)

69.19% (

2.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22% (

0.74)

22.77% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.53% (

1.08)

56.47% (

-1.08)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

-3.07)

26.7% (

3.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

-4.24)

61.96% (

4.24)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 41%

Swansea City 33.8%

Draw 25.19%

Oxford United	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.21% Total : 41%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.57) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.45) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.31) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.8%